Monday, August 13, 2012

The Normalcy Bias - By Erik Garces - Spring 2012

(*Editors note - It may be self-serving to say, but my public writings warning of the very period we are presently experiencing began in earnest in 1989. Prior to that I was talking to anyone who would listen. At the time it was like the experience of insanity, where what one knew, no family or associate was fully prepared to hear, truth created shock and barriers closing off communication. One's choice was to be very careful what you said to whom and at no time (including even today) was there an opportunity to speak freely and expect that what you say could be understood.

Erik Garces accord to his Facebook page is he a fan of Ron Paul and Alex Jones.  Erik might find it surprising to learn that I am a fan of neither and have written much negative about both. I won't re-state that but will add links at the end of the article.

I don't know Erik other than by his writing but I wanted to demonstrate to my readers, that contrary to popular opinion few Conservative Republicans and Independents have had a clue as to the reality of the national and world politik. For the most part they have lived in a fog of idolatry, accounting goodness to an Idol (a government) that has never match their image of it. Naive Conservatives, Moderate Independents and Moderate Liberals have all been asleep holding the false image of the Sainthood of U.S. Government that said, "Our Government is Good. Our Leaders Have Our Protection and Care As Their True Goal.  Our Government Would Never Do What Is Clearly Evil.) Fortunately that "idol" was smashed very early in my life. On the other hand Libertarians and Ron Paul supporters have had few such delusions and while they were called Conspiracy Nutz, they were the largest group with the clearest view of REALITY in the last decade. Every group that dares state the truth the ruling elite does not want told are demonized as fringe or worse. Sadly the Ron Paul people have had another Idol, named The Constitution - and have worshiped it in ignorance - but that is a subject of a different time. )

The Normalcy Bias - By Erik Garces - Spring 2012

People who insist there is no grave imminent threat to us from a currency collapse or decry the latest bit of news that the growing authority seized by government isn't a danger to our liberty, frequently call those of us who do see this for what it is, fringe or extremists. These folks are usually very clever in their opposition. I am not claiming anyone here is lacking honesty or sincerity, only their selective denial of this fact, or that story, is to make careful dissection of logical conclusions. 

When cornered, and with no alternative these contrarians will occasionally out of necessity accept completely undeniable fact, but will subsequently dismiss these as unrelated to other facts. If they even acknowledge the statement alt all... When their logical fallacies are pointed out to the contrarian, the frequent response is to hold the messenger in contempt with off topic and often insulting comment or dismissal as a “conspiracy theory.”

These people, though highly intelligent, well educated, and better informed than most, suffer from a psychological disorder known to science as the normalcy bias. Many are very patriotic and some even share the same ideological views as I do - individual liberty, private property rights, limited government; these are well meaning people, citizens, whose only wish is to see the once sacred republic returned to its former place. Sadly these people are also the unwitting tools of the establishment; for the wildest nonsense can take place, and they will willingly accept whatever the controlled Media tells them. Moreover, its a well established fact that there are armies of paid operatives working for the political parties, and the government, to maintain the illusion of normalcy.

Contrarians are unable to make full use of their cognitive abilities to arrive at simple, logical conclusions based on all the information available, when it comes to subject matter outside their expected norms. Because it is just so far out of what their education, upbringing, ideology, or socializing can accept. This is why those engaged as I have outlined, can actually expect that one more election will give us 'change.'

Dr. Albert Einstein is famously quoted as defining insanity as:
“Repeating a task and expecting a different result each time.”

This nation's political systems have been so thoroughly corrupted that there is no fix. History has shown, that never has any political system survived once it's reached this level of debt, it has always led to a tyranny. We're not even talking about the paper fiat money experiment, which has for all of mankind's history, always failed... always.

It's clearly insanity, by Einstein's definition, to believe any candidate is going to effect “change” when repeatedly electing politicians from both parties has yielded no differing results. The history of the last century has clearly been worse than what the Founding Fathers bemoaned:
“[a] long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism ...”

The medical definition of the normalcy bias as written by Pamela V. Valentine and Thomas E. Smith ["Finding Something to Do: the Disaster Continuity Care Model." Brief Treatment and Crisis Intervention 2 (2002): 183-96.] reads in pertinent part:
“The normalcy bias, or normality bias, refers to a mental state people enter when facing a disaster. It causes people to underestimate both the possibility of a disaster occurring and its possible effects. This often results in situations where people fail to adequately prepare for a disaster, and on a larger scale, the failure of governments to include the populace in its disaster preparations. THE ASSUMPTION THAT IS MADE IN THE CASE OF THE NORMALCY BIAS IS THAT SINCE A DISASTER NEVER HAS OCCURRED THEN IT NEVER WILL OCCUR. It also results in the inability of people to cope with a disaster once it occurs. People with a normalcy bias have difficulties reacting to something they have not experienced before. People also tend to interpret warnings in the most optimistic way possible, seizing on any ambiguities to infer a less serious situation.” (emphasis mine)

This was the unfortunate mechanism which allowed so many Jews to remain in Europe, despite the warnings of what the Nazi's were about to do. Today, the clarion call sounds ever louder that an economic collapse, followed by a police state is coming. The rate of firearm purchases this year, confirm that many of us out there share this understanding. The physical and legal evidence of this is very real and is undeniable.

Once free citizens, you may choose to continue ignoring reality, and continue to dismiss the warnings of impending peril. However, try as you may, you will not be able to avoid the consequences of that choice. I will try and awaken as many people as possible; because this is the only way we can survive that which is now unavoidable.

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